Question

Will Trump's lead over Biden be greater than 3 and less than or equal to 4 on July 15, 2024, according to 538's national polling average?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
35%
(25% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Opened:Jul 9, 2024
Closes:Jul 10, 2024
Resolves:Jul 17, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 10, 2024
Include Bots:Yes