49 comments
30 forecasters
Will exactly 1 Starship launch reach an altitude of 160 kilometers between July 1, 2024 and Sept 30, 2024?
40%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Jul 11, 2024
Closes:Jul 12, 2024
Resolved:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 12, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?
63 forecasters
Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?
12% chance
59
When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?
22 Feb 2028
(12 Jan 2027 - 31 Aug 2029)
22 Feb 2028
(12 Jan 2027 - 31 Aug 2029)
202 forecasters