Question

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Resolved:No
14
31
Total Forecasters75
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
85.3
Community Peer Score
18.0
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Opened:Jul 14, 2024
Closes:Nov 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 5, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 17, 2024
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