77 forecasters

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

0.1%chance

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 14, 2024

Closes:

Nov 1, 2024

Resolved:

Nov 22, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 17, 2024

2024 Leaderboard

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