64 comments
35 forecasters
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before Sept 30, 2024?
7%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 7% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 12, 2024
Closes:Jul 13, 2024
Resolved:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 13, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
