Question

Will astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore be on Earth on August 15?

Resolved:No

63 comments63

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction

56%

(45% - 79%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 56%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Jul 12, 2024

Closes:

Jul 13, 2024

Resolves:

Aug 19, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 13, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

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Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Jul 12, 2024

Closes:

Jul 13, 2024

Resolves:

Aug 19, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 13, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Axiom Mission 4 crew: How to watch livestream of SpaceX rocket launch from Florida

USA Today•Jun 24, 2025

When it comes to auroras, pink is the new white, astronaut says | On the ISS this week June 16 - 20, 2025

•Jun 23, 2025

SpaceX, NASA target June 19 for launch of private Ax-4 astronauts after ISS leak repairs

•Jun 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Artemis 2 successfully complete its mission?

23 Oct 2026

Will the Boeing Starliner Commercial Crew program be canceled before its first operational flight?

38%

What will be the longest uninterrupted stay (in days) in deep space before 2051?

795