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63 comments
168 forecasters

Before August 22, 2024, will President Joe Biden take any of these specific actions to end his candidacy for re-election?

99%chance
99%chance
ResolvedYes
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
johnnycaffeineJgaltRyanBeck
Opened:Jul 16, 2024
Closes:Aug 21, 2024
Resolved:Jul 21, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 17, 2024
🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Other
33.9%
Gavin Newsom
31.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.5%
5 others
178 forecasters

If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?

Kamala Harris
Annulled
Nikki Haley
Annulled
Ron DeSantis
Annulled
5 others
68 forecasters

Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?

25% chance
56
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