41 forecasters

Will leading Democratic lawmakers publicly call for Joe Biden to end his candidacy for the Democratic nomination before August 7, 2024?

Biden drops out firstresult: Yes

Listed Democrat calls for Biden to drop out0.9%

Neither before August 70.3%

Forecast Timeline

Biden drops out first

Listed Democrat calls for Biden to drop out

Neither before August 7

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 12, 2024

Closes:

Aug 7, 2024

Resolved:

Jul 21, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 13, 2024

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Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

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174 forecasters

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If inaugurated as President in 2025, will these 2024 presidential candidates complete a full four-year term?