Question

Will leading Democratic lawmakers publicly call for Joe Biden to end his candidacy for the Democratic nomination before August 7, 2024?

6
11
50 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 50

Make a Prediction

OptionsMe
ResolvedBiden drops out first
98.8%
Listed Democrat calls for Biden to drop out
0.9%
Neither before August 7
0.3%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Biden drops out first

Community Baseline Score
-18.1
Community Peer Score
17.1
Authors:
Opened:Jul 12, 2024
Closes:Aug 7, 2024
Resolves:Aug 7, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 13, 2024