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50
34
forecasters
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34 forecasters
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2024 Q3
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Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel through Sept 30, 2024?
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Other
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Israel take Gaza City before 2029?
24%
chance
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Current estimate
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Gaza war end and two state solution by 2030?
3.3%
chance
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Will Israel exist as a country on January 1, 2060?
98%
chance