49 comments
34 forecasters
Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before Sept 30, 2024?
8.6%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 9% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 15, 2024
Closes:Jul 16, 2024
Resolved:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 16, 2024
Include Bots:Yes