54 comments
36 forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by Sept 30, 2024?
3.5%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 4% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 17, 2024
Closes:Jul 18, 2024
Resolved:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2024
Include Bots:Yes