145 forecasters

If the US enters a recession, how many months will the economic contraction last?

community

6.77

result

2

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 20, 2019

Closes:

Sep 19, 2020

Resolved:

Jul 19, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 20, 2019

Economy & Business

2016-2025 Leaderboard

A top economist says there's an 'uncomfortably high' chance that the US is heading into a recession in the next year

Business Insider•Sep 15, 2025

US in 'labor recession' as shock new figures reveal downturn

Daily Mail•Sep 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch