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34 forecasters
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before Sept 30, 2024?
30%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 30% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 18, 2024
Closes:Jul 19, 2024
Resolved:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 19, 2024
Include Bots:Yes