1 comment
39 forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?
Current estimate
8.9B people
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological humans only)?
30.4k $
(21.2k - 47.6k)
30.4k $
(21.2k - 47.6k)
17 forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological plus digital humans)?
32.3k $
(20.9k - 49.3k)
32.3k $
(20.9k - 49.3k)
17 forecasters
Five years after AGI, if there are digital people, what will be their population?
375k people
(659 - 377M)
375k people
(659 - 377M)
35 forecasters