Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
9
85
forecasters
10
9 comments
85 forecasters
Five Years After AGI
1 more...
Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
5%
chance
2%
this week
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (9)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
13 comments
37 forecasters
5Y after AGI, digital people population?
Current estimate
482k people
16 comments
92 forecasters
Mind Uploading Before AGI?
1%
chance
4 comments
98 forecasters
5Y after AGI, radical life extension?
53%
chance
11 comments
162 forecasters
Five years after AGI, will humans be extinct?
1%
chance
11 comments
52 forecasters
Peak 5-Year Human Uploads by 2100
Current estimate
111k humans
1 comment
53 forecasters
5Y after AGI, Dyson swarm under construction?
1%
chance
1 comment
40 forecasters
5Y after AGI, Windfall Clause activated?
1%
chance
11 comments
156 forecasters
5Y after AGI, universal basic income?
33%
chance