78 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

1%chance

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 23, 2024

Five Years After AGI

Artificial Intelligence

Sam Altman’s next startup eyes using sound waves to read your brain

Verge•Oct 25, 2025

The economy doesn't need true AGI, says Replit CEO

Business Insider•Oct 24, 2025

Why All the Buzz About AGI? And What Is It Anyway?

Bloomberg•Oct 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, if there are digital people, what will be their population?

Will mind uploading happen before AGI?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?