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53 forecasters

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53 forecasters

Five Years After AGI

Five years after AGI, will a Dyson swarm be under construction?

1%chance

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5 comments71 forecasters

5Y after AGI, nuclear fusion 10% world energy

0 comments28 forecasters

5Y after AGI, energy consumption?

Current estimate

6 comments45 forecasters

5Y after AGI, farthest spacecraft?

9 comments85 forecasters

5Y after AGI, human mind uploading?

1 comment40 forecasters

5Y after AGI, Windfall Clause activated?

2 comments40 forecasters

5Y after AGI, long reflection underway?

11 comments162 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will humans be extinct?

36 comments243 forecasters

Time between weak AGI and oracle ASI

Current estimate