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46 forecasters
Five years after AGI, will a Dyson swarm be under construction?
0.3%chance
0.7 pp this week
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?
16% chance
66
Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?
423k TWh
(243k - 992k)
423k TWh
(243k - 992k)
28 forecasters
Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?
1% chance
40