42 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

11%chance

22 pp this week

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Jul 23, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 23, 2024

Five Years After AGI

Artificial Intelligence

The Hybrid Tipping Zone

Psychology Today•Sep 9, 2025

Anthropic Is Hiring Researchers to Study A.I. Consciousness and Welfare

Observer (NY)•Sep 9, 2025

No, AI isn’t going to kill us all, despite what this new book says

New Scientist•Sep 8, 2025

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