Question

Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025?

9
41
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
19%
(5% - 30%)

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50%
community: 19%
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Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:Jul 20, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jul 10, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
Metaculus
Artificial Intelligence
2024-2025 Leaderboard