13
427 forecasters
Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?
20%chance
Top Key Factors
trumps health
Increases Likelihood
Metrics and republican health
Decreases Likelihood
does Vance get the nomination
Increases Likelihood
economic outlook during second Trump term
Decreases Likelihood
The United States' gamble in Venezuela pays off
Decreases Likelihood
midterm election outcomes
Decreases Likelihood