Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
2
comments
31
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will a ‘long reflection’ be underway?
5%
chance
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Jul 22, 2024
Closes:
Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:
Jul 23, 2024
Five Years After AGI
Artificial Intelligence
Space
Similar Questions
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
65%
chance
88
Five years after AGI, how happy will people be?
5.18 score
(4.51 - 6.49)
5.18 score
(4.51 - 6.49)
47
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will a single AI company dominate the world economy?
6%
chance
70
Show More Questions