Question

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before August 31, 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction
35%
(32% - 44%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jul 23, 2024
Resolves:Aug 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
Include Bots:Yes