Question
When will a robot poker player win a significant live (not online) competition?
Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction
21 May 2030
(22 Feb 2026 - Aug 2040)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 22 Feb 2026 | — |
| median | 21 May 2030 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2220 | 1.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 4, 2019
Closes:Feb 28, 2220
Scheduled resolution:Feb 28, 2220
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 5, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Mar 4, 2019
Closes:Feb 28, 2220
Scheduled resolution:Feb 28, 2220
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 5, 2019