• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
10 comments
29 forecasters

Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states?

Wisconsinresult: Yes
New Mexicoresult: Yes
Montanaresult: Yes
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:Jul 23, 2024
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Nov 6, 2024
Elections
Law
2024 Leaderboard
Newsweek logo
New California: The Group Pushing for a Breakaway State
Newsweek•Sep 14, 2025
Slate logo
Who Showed Up to Lead in a Dark, Tense Week?
Slate•Sep 13, 2025
Daily Mail logo
Biden insiders spew venom on Kamala Harris claiming her scathing critique of the former president is a 'sloppy attempt at deflecting blame' for her failure
Daily Mail•Sep 11, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Other
39.8%
Gavin Newsom
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10%
5 others
163 forecasters

Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?

30% chance
53

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?

2021-2022
No
2023-2024
No
2025-2026
3.8%
1 other
6 forecasters
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature