• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
10 comments
29 forecasters

Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states?

Wisconsinresult: Yes
New Mexicoresult: Yes
Montanaresult: Yes
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:Jul 23, 2024
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Nov 6, 2024
Elections
Law
2024 Leaderboard
Newsweek logo
Geoff Duncan's Chances of Winning Georgia Gubernatorial Race
Newsweek•Sep 17, 2025
Newsweek logo
New California: The Group Pushing for a Breakaway State
Newsweek•Sep 14, 2025
Slate logo
Who Showed Up to Lead in a Dark, Tense Week?
Slate•Sep 13, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Other
39.3%
Gavin Newsom
23.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.1%
5 others
164 forecasters

Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?

30% chance
54

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?

2021-2022
No
2023-2024
No
2025-2026
2%
1 other
8 forecasters
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature