Question

Will Revolut obtain a UK banking license before September 30, 2024?

Resolved:No

62 comments62

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction

70%

(58.3% - 87.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 24, 2024

Closes:

Jul 25, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 30, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 25, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Revolut CEO ‘could get multibillion-dollar windfall if its value passes $150bn’

Guardian•Jun 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?

80%

Will the UK join the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean Convention before 2029?

25%

Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?

10%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 24, 2024

Closes:

Jul 25, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 30, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 25, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Revolut CEO ‘could get multibillion-dollar windfall if its value passes $150bn’

Guardian•Jun 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?

80%

Will the UK join the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean Convention before 2029?

25%

Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?

10%