32 forecasters

Will Donald Trump debate the Democratic nominee for president more than once before October 1, 2024?

35%chance

35%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 35% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 26, 2024

Closes:

Jul 27, 2024

Resolved:

Oct 2, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 27, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Donald Trump Receives New Challenge From Zohran Mamdani

Newsweek•Sep 5, 2025

Mamdani challenges President Trump to debate to "cut out the middle man" after Cuomo calls for NYC mayoral debates

CBS•Sep 5, 2025

Zohran Mamdani challenges President Trump to public debate

New York Post•Sep 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch