Question

Will the Prime Minister of France on August 31, 2024 belong to Macron's "Together" coalition?

Resolved:Yes

60 comments60

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction

60%

(40% - 68.2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Jul 29, 2024

Closes:

Jul 30, 2024

Resolves:

Aug 31, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 30, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Emmanuel Macron’s Bid to Divide the Left Is Paying Off

Jacobin•Jun 22, 2025

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Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?

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Will a vote of no confidence pass the French National Assembly before July 14, 2025?

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Jul 29, 2024

Closes:

Jul 30, 2024

Resolves:

Aug 31, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 30, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Emmanuel Macron’s Bid to Divide the Left Is Paying Off

Jacobin•Jun 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will French president Emmanuel Macron call another snap legislative election before 2026?

25%