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88 forecasters
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
65%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 27, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2086
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2086
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 28, 2024
Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?
52% chance
283
Five years after AGI, will a ‘long reflection’ be underway?
4% chance
32
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
17% chance
17