Question

Will any inmate successfully escape from ADX Florence before January 1, 2050?

4

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction

4%

(3% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

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Authors:

Opened:

Aug 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 4, 2024

Will Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary house inmates before 2028?

When will an AI gain unauthorized access to systems outside its designated environment?

Will the Trump administration announce a suspension of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029?

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 4, 2024

Will Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary house inmates before 2028?

When will an AI gain unauthorized access to systems outside its designated environment?

Will the Trump administration announce a suspension of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029?