Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
59
30
forecasters
59 comments
30 forecasters
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2024 Q3
1 more...
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 Grand Chess Tour?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (59)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
11 comments
30 forecasters
Levy Rozman GM
20%
chance
1 comment
84 forecasters
Tour de France 2026 Winner?
Tadej Pogačar
50.9%
Jonas Vingegaard
26.5%
Remco Evenepoel
8.2%
Other
5.1%
3 others
9 comments
21 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship?
Charles Leclerc
12.3%
George Russell
30.6%
Kimi Antonelli
34.6%
Max Verstappen
7.6%
19 others
1 comment
11 forecasters
Hans Niemann World Chess Champion before 2050?
Classical
3.9%
Rapid
14%
Blitz
11%
2 comments
17 forecasters
Will the 2026 ICPC World Finals be held in China?
18%
chance
14 comments
800 forecasters
New country winner of the 2026 World Cup?
14%
chance
15 comments
72 forecasters
Next #1 FIDE-Ranked Chess Player
Fabiano Caruana
22.2%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
13%
Dommaraju Gukesh
13%
Alireza Firouzja
10%
12 others
6 comments
30 forecasters
Date Firouzja Becomes #1 Ranked Chess Player
Current estimate
>Jan 2035