Group

What will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris' net favorability ratings as reported by 538 be on these pre-election dates?

16 comments16

17 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 12

Kamala Harris, October 1 2024

Kamala Harris, November 1 2024

Kamala Harris, September 1 2024

Donald Trump, November 1 2024

Donald Trump, September 1 2024

Donald Trump, October 1 2024

Make a Prediction

Resolved

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CDF

	<-20	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>20
community	0.1%	0.4055	1.051	1.686	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<-20	0.1%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	0.4055	—
median	1.051	—
upper 75%	1.686	—
Upper bound
>20	0.1%	—

What was the final result?1.3

Community Peer Score

21.7

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Aug 1, 2024

Closes:

Nov 1, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 1, 2024

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Aug 1, 2024

Closes:

Nov 1, 2024

Resolves:

Nov 1, 2024

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

Donald Trump Gets Polling Boost From Hispanics

Newsweek•Jul 4, 2025

Donald Trump's Approval Rating Plummets With Republicans

Newsweek•Jul 3, 2025

Donald Trump's Approval Rating Underwater Across Multiple Polls

Newsweek•Jul 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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