10 forecasters

After the end of the DNC, what will be Kamala Harris's probability of winning the US 2024 presidential election, as measured and displayed by Metaculus?

Over 50% (>50%)result: Yes

46%-50%, inclusive (≥46% and ≤50%)9.9%

Under 46% (>46%)2%

Forecast Timeline

Over 50% (>50%)

46%-50%, inclusive (≥46% and ≤50%)

Under 46% (>46%)

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 3, 2024

Closes:

Aug 10, 2024

Resolved:

Aug 30, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 4, 2024

174 forecasters