• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
conditional
condition

2024 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee? (Josh Shapiro)

Resolved:No
26 forecasters
if yes
if no

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Kamala Harris)

55%
55%
Resolved:Annulled

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Kamala Harris)

55%
55%
Resolved:No
7
2 comments2

Make a Prediction

2024 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee? (Josh Shapiro)

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Kamala Harris)

My Prediction: —
My Prediction: —
50%
community: 55%

This branch was annulled because the parent question resolved No.

50%
community: 55%

What was the final result? No

Community Baseline Score
-12.2
Community Peer Score
12.3

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:Jul 4, 2024
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolves:Jan 6, 2025
Elections
2024 Leaderboard
American Thinker logo
Pennsylvania’s Dem governor should listen to his colleague
American Thinker•Jun 22, 2025
Newsweek logo
Gavin Newsom's Chances of Beating Kamala Harris in 2028
Newsweek•Jun 20, 2025
Independent logo
Mark Cuban reveals why he turned down Kamala Harris’s VP offer in 2024
Independent•Jun 20, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

57%
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:Jul 4, 2024
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolves:Jan 6, 2025
Elections
2024 Leaderboard
American Thinker logo
Pennsylvania’s Dem governor should listen to his colleague
American Thinker•Jun 22, 2025
Newsweek logo
Gavin Newsom's Chances of Beating Kamala Harris in 2028
Newsweek•Jun 20, 2025
Independent logo
Mark Cuban reveals why he turned down Kamala Harris’s VP offer in 2024
Independent•Jun 20, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

57%
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature