Question

Will the Venezuelan electoral commission publish full results of the July 28 presidential election before August 12, 2024?

Resolved:No

13 comments13

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction

(1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

72.2

Community Peer Score

4.3

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Aug 4, 2024

Closes:

Aug 12, 2024

Resolves:

Aug 12, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 5, 2024

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

80%

Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

39%

Will Javier Milei be reelected as President of Argentina before January 1, 2028?

75%

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Aug 4, 2024

Closes:

Aug 12, 2024

Resolves:

Aug 12, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 5, 2024

Politics

2024 Leaderboard

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

80%

Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?

39%

Will Javier Milei be reelected as President of Argentina before January 1, 2028?

75%