Question

Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before October 1, 2024?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
50%
(35% - 66.7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 50%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Opened:Aug 5, 2024
Closes:Aug 6, 2024
Resolves:Sep 23, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 6, 2024
Include Bots:Yes