Question

Will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on the International Math Olympiad before October 1, 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
10%
(5% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Opened:Aug 7, 2024
Closes:Aug 8, 2024
Resolves:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 8, 2024
Include Bots:Yes