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29 forecasters
Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?
40%chance
20 pp this week
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 14, 2024
Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?
50% chance
119
Will global corporate spending on adoption of AI applications, infrastructure, and services reach or exceed $700 billion USD during 2029?
96% chance
18
Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?
57% chance
222