2 comments
44 forecasters
Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?
93%chance
Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 13, 2024
Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?
60% chance
41
Will a cyberattack targeting AI systems cause a significant power blackout in the United States before 2028?
11% chance
46
If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?
80% chance
34