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9 comments
24 forecasters

Falcon Heavy booster landing redux: How many boosters will Falcon Heavy Flight 2 land successfully?

community
2.61
result
3
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:Apr 4, 2019
Closes:Apr 7, 2019
Resolved:Apr 11, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 5, 2019
Technology
Space
🏆 2019 Leaderboard
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What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years?

2025
10.9
2030
32
2035
60.8
36 forecasters

How many Falcon 9 failures will there be before 2026?

1.16 failures
(0.989 - 2.03)
1.16 failures
(0.989 - 2.03)
48 forecasters

Will SpaceX successfully land the following on Mars before 2035?

An uncrewed craft
80%
At least one person
36%
At least one person—and return them to Earth
18%
1 other
15 forecasters
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