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35 forecasters

35 forecasters

AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2024 Q3

Will Tim Walz cease to be Kamala Harriss's running mate before October 1, 2024?

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11 comments241 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Gavin Newsom25.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.5%

Pete Buttigieg7.1%

15 comments42 forecasters

Will a prominent Dem seek asylum before Jan 20, 2029?

5 comments30 forecasters

Will a woman be elected US president by 2044?

3 comments833 forecasters

Will Trump stop having POTUS powers in 2026?

13 comments104 forecasters

Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?

17 comments172 forecasters

Lisa Cook not a member of the Federal Reserve Board before Nov 3, 2026?

7 comments24 forecasters

Will the next U.S. President have a beard or mustache?

3 comments42 forecasters

Vivek Ramaswamy wins Ohio governorship in 2026?