34 comments
164 forecasters
Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income be introduced in any EU country before 2041?
75%chance
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Opened:May 14, 2020
Closes:Apr 4, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Apr 4, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:May 15, 2020
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Will the US, UK, China, or any of the countries in the EU enact a universal basic income before 2030?
5% chance
60
Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?
20% chance
80
Before 2031, will a G7 country have an active, publicly-funded UBI pilot program covering at least 25,000 people?
25% chance
44