59 comments
37 forecasters
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspend his 2024 presidential campaign before September 24, 2024?
20%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 20% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 12, 2024
Closes:Aug 13, 2024
Resolved:Aug 23, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 13, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
22% chance
50
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
10% chance
34
Will the Trump administration announce a suspension of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029?
20% chance
121