• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
3
17 forecasters
2
3 comments
17 forecasters
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
condition

[CTs] Insufficient Policy Response After AI Catastrophe Kills 1 Million by 2050?

17 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals before 2100?

78%
78%

Will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals before 2100?

25%
25%
Forecast Timeline
if Yes78%
if No25%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use