conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
CTs Policy Response After AI Catastrophe | CTs AI Extinction Before 2100 |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: — | |
| My Prediction: — |
Forecast Timeline
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2100
If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?
75%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
27%
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
20%
Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2100
If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?
75%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
27%
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
20%