5 comments
55 forecasters
Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before 2026?
0.8%chance
Authors:
Opened:Aug 20, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 23, 2024
Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?
10% chance
141
Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?
80% chance
22
Will the Appellate Body of the World Trade Organization have any new members before 2035?
75% chance
3