Question

On October 1, 2024, what will be the status of Ukraine’s offensives reaching at least five miles into Russian territory?

111 forecasters

Total Forecasters 111

Kursk Oblast and in no other oblasts

Kursk Oblast and at least 1 other oblast

Not Kursk Oblast, but at least 1 other oblast

No Ukrainian-held Russian territory

Location(s) of Ukrainian-Held Russian Territory >5mi inside Russian Border		My Prediction		Me
ResolvedKursk Oblast and in no other oblasts	99.7%

Kursk Oblast and at least 1 other oblast	0.1%

Not Kursk Oblast, but at least 1 other oblast	0.1%

No Ukrainian-held Russian territory	0.1%