Question

Will the USD be worth 0.935 EUR or more at the close of trading on any day before October 1, 2024?

Resolved:No

60 comments60

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction

25%

(19.4% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Aug 16, 2024

Closes:

Aug 17, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 17, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

US Dollar Prepares Counterattack. Forecast as of 16.06.2025

•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026?

20%

Will the US Dollar Index (DXY) drop below an average of 88 for any 90-day period before the 2029 presidential inauguration?

40%

Will the US dollar continuously remain >50% of global foreign currency exchange reserves through Q3 2028?

65%

Authors:

Tom_Metaculus

Opened:

Aug 16, 2024

Closes:

Aug 17, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 17, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

US Dollar Prepares Counterattack. Forecast as of 16.06.2025

•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026?

20%

Will the US Dollar Index (DXY) drop below an average of 88 for any 90-day period before the 2029 presidential inauguration?

40%

Will the US dollar continuously remain >50% of global foreign currency exchange reserves through Q3 2028?

65%