33 forecasters

Will Israel invade Lebanon before October 1, 2024?

27.5%chance

27.5%chance

Ambiguous

Ambiguous

The community gave this a 28% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 20, 2024

Closes:

Aug 21, 2024

Resolved:

Oct 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 21, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

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