Question

Will Hurricane Ernesto cause major damage in Bermuda, exceeding $200 million (USD)?

Resolved:No

9 comments9

Total Forecasters6

Community Prediction

23%

(20% - 32%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 23%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

39.9

Community Peer Score

3.1

Authors:

mavik

Opened:

Aug 16, 2024

Closes:

Aug 19, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 16, 2024

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

2024 Leaderboard

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

10.7

Will the US dollar continuously remain >50% of global foreign currency exchange reserves through Q3 2028?

65%

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85%

Authors:

mavik

Opened:

Aug 16, 2024

Closes:

Aug 19, 2024

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 16, 2024

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

2024 Leaderboard

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

10.7

Will the US dollar continuously remain >50% of global foreign currency exchange reserves through Q3 2028?

65%

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85%